The Florida Panthers (52-24-6) visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8) on Thursday, April 25, with the Panthers coming off a win in their last game and the Lightning a loss. The Lightning are big underdogs despite being at home, at +177, and the Panthers are -129.

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Panthers vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

  • This season, Florida and its opponent have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under of 6 goals 37 times.
  • There have been 56 Tampa Bay games with over 6 goals this season.
  • The Panthers score 3.23 goals per game, compared to the Lightning's average of 3.51, adding up to 0.7 more goals than this contest's total of 6.
  • The 5.7 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.3 less than the over/under set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Panthers Moneyline: -129

  • The Panthers have been victorious in 48 of their 68 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (70.6%).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -129 or shorter, Florida is 39-18 (winning 68.4% of the time).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Panthers have a 56.3% chance to win.

Lightning Moneyline: +177

  • Tampa Bay has pulled off an upset victory 12 times when playing as the moneyline underdog this season (in 31 games as the underdog).
  • The Lightning have not played a game with moneyline odds of +177 or longer.
  • Tampa Bay has a 36.1% implied probability to win this matchup.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Florida 3

Panthers Leaders

  • One of Florida's top offensive options this season is Sam Reinhart, who has put up 94 points in 82 games.
  • Matthew Tkachuk is another of Florida's important contributors currently with 88 total points (26 goals and 62 assists) to his name.
  • Aleksander Barkov Jr. has created 80 points for Florida in 73 games this season, scoring on 11.9% of his shots and putting up 23 goals and 57 assists.
  • In the 58 games Sergei Bobrovsky has played this season, his save percentage is .915, 11th in the league.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov is a leading scorer for Tampa Bay, with 144 points this season. He has put up 44 goals and 100 assists in 81 games.
  • Brayden Point has made a big impact for Tampa Bay this season with 90 points, thanks to 46 goals and 44 assists.
  • Tampa Bay's Steven Stamkos has 81 points (40 goals, 41 assists) this season.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy's record stands at 30-20-2 on the season, giving up 148 goals (2.9 goals against average) and compiling 1329 saves with a .900 save percentage (42nd in the league).

Panthers' Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
4/16/2024 Maple Leafs W 5-2 Home -161
4/21/2024 Lightning W 3-2 Home -181
4/23/2024 Lightning W 3-2 Home -178
4/25/2024 Lightning - Away -129
4/27/2024 Lightning - Away -

Lightning's Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
4/17/2024 Maple Leafs W 6-4 Home -132
4/21/2024 Panthers L 3-2 Away +151
4/23/2024 Panthers L 3-2 Away +149
4/25/2024 Panthers - Home +177
4/27/2024 Panthers - Home -

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Florida vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS, SportsNet, TVAS, Max, BSSUN, BSFL, and BSFLX
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Venue: Amalie Arena
  • Live Stream:Watch this game on Fubo

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.